We would love to hear from you. Click on the ‘Contact Us’ link to the right and choose your favorite way to reach-out!

wscdsdc

media/speaking contact

Jamie Johnson

business contact

Victoria Peterson

Contact Us

855.ask.wink

Close [x]
pattern

Industry News

Categories

  • Industry Articles (21,225)
  • Industry Conferences (2)
  • Industry Job Openings (35)
  • Moore on the Market (420)
  • Negative Media (144)
  • Positive Media (73)
  • Sheryl's Articles (803)
  • Wink's Articles (354)
  • Wink's Inside Story (275)
  • Wink's Press Releases (123)
  • Blog Archives

  • April 2024
  • March 2024
  • February 2024
  • January 2024
  • December 2023
  • November 2023
  • October 2023
  • September 2023
  • August 2023
  • July 2023
  • June 2023
  • May 2023
  • April 2023
  • March 2023
  • February 2023
  • January 2023
  • December 2022
  • November 2022
  • October 2022
  • September 2022
  • August 2022
  • July 2022
  • June 2022
  • May 2022
  • April 2022
  • March 2022
  • February 2022
  • January 2022
  • December 2021
  • November 2021
  • October 2021
  • September 2021
  • August 2021
  • July 2021
  • June 2021
  • May 2021
  • April 2021
  • March 2021
  • February 2021
  • January 2021
  • December 2020
  • November 2020
  • October 2020
  • September 2020
  • August 2020
  • July 2020
  • June 2020
  • May 2020
  • April 2020
  • March 2020
  • February 2020
  • January 2020
  • December 2019
  • November 2019
  • October 2019
  • September 2019
  • August 2019
  • July 2019
  • June 2019
  • May 2019
  • April 2019
  • March 2019
  • February 2019
  • January 2019
  • December 2018
  • November 2018
  • October 2018
  • September 2018
  • August 2018
  • July 2018
  • June 2018
  • May 2018
  • April 2018
  • March 2018
  • February 2018
  • January 2018
  • December 2017
  • November 2017
  • October 2017
  • September 2017
  • August 2017
  • July 2017
  • June 2017
  • May 2017
  • April 2017
  • March 2017
  • February 2017
  • January 2017
  • December 2016
  • November 2016
  • October 2016
  • September 2016
  • August 2016
  • July 2016
  • June 2016
  • May 2016
  • April 2016
  • March 2016
  • February 2016
  • January 2016
  • December 2015
  • November 2015
  • October 2015
  • September 2015
  • August 2015
  • July 2015
  • June 2015
  • May 2015
  • April 2015
  • March 2015
  • February 2015
  • January 2015
  • December 2014
  • November 2014
  • October 2014
  • September 2014
  • August 2014
  • July 2014
  • June 2014
  • May 2014
  • April 2014
  • March 2014
  • February 2014
  • January 2014
  • December 2013
  • November 2013
  • October 2013
  • September 2013
  • August 2013
  • July 2013
  • June 2013
  • May 2013
  • April 2013
  • March 2013
  • February 2013
  • January 2013
  • December 2012
  • November 2012
  • October 2012
  • September 2012
  • August 2012
  • July 2012
  • June 2012
  • May 2012
  • April 2012
  • March 2012
  • February 2012
  • January 2012
  • December 2011
  • November 2011
  • October 2011
  • September 2011
  • August 2011
  • July 2011
  • June 2011
  • May 2011
  • April 2011
  • March 2011
  • February 2011
  • January 2011
  • December 2010
  • November 2010
  • October 2010
  • September 2010
  • August 2010
  • July 2010
  • June 2010
  • May 2010
  • April 2010
  • March 2010
  • February 2010
  • January 2010
  • December 2009
  • November 2009
  • October 2009
  • August 2009
  • June 2009
  • May 2009
  • April 2009
  • March 2009
  • November 2008
  • September 2008
  • May 2008
  • February 2008
  • August 2006
  • The Future of Robo-Advice

    April 5, 2016 by Joe Mansueto

    ‘I’d love to see several of the start-up robo-advisors thrive in the coming years. But most face serious economic headwinds,’ writes the founder and CEO of Morningstar, Inc.

    The Future of Robo-Advice

    Many people often ask me what I think of robo-advisors—the many automated investment management sites that have emerged over the past few years. On the investment side, robo-advisors aren’t breaking new ground. What impresses me, though, is what they have done with user engagement.

    They’ve created compelling user interfaces that are written in a friendly, casual voice with clear explanations. They make investing more accessible and less intimidating. I’m a design fan, and many of these offerings have done an excellent job with it. They’ve made investing more enjoyable and easier to fit into your digital life.

    Is this another instance of technological disruption that will render a profession (financial advisors) obsolete?

    I don’t think so. Robo-solutions work well for those early in their careers when their financial affairs are often simpler. As people age, their financial lives inevitably become more complex—there may be a divorce, a special needs child, care of elderly parents, insurance needs, annuities, housing assets, social security, estate planning, and other factors to consider.

    At that point, people highly value working with a financial advisor who can put together an appropriate financial plan. It’s hard for a computer algorithm to take into account the multitude of possible individual situations and create a plan in a way that engenders trust. By Morningstar estimates, the value of financial planning is significant—it can provide an additional 1.6% of return per year.

    There’s also the emotional and behavioral aspect to investing. If the market plunges, investors often want to speak to someone. Logging on to a website and interacting with an online tool may not suffice. The future of the financial advisor is secure and arguably more important than ever. 

    That said, robo-advisors are good for the investment industry and here to stay. They’ve put people into sensible portfolios that are low-cost and diversified with regular rebalancing. They should produce reasonable, index-like returns over time. It’s not revolutionary, but does fill a market need. Many investors who use these services have few alternatives. They have low account balances that are too small for financial advisors. Robo-advisors can step up to fill the advice gap and get people investing earlier in their careers.

    Over time, robo-advisors may add financial planning capabilities with artificial intelligence features to enhance their appeal. We’ll see them evolve to hybrid solutions that incorporate licensed advisors into their solution via phone and video. One example of a robo-advisor doing this today is Personal Capital. 

    We’ll also see financial advisors use robo-tools to manage their smaller accounts. Instead of being harmed by technology, financial advisors can turn the tables and leverage it to expand their practices. We’ll increasingly see robo-technology built into advisor platforms and asset management firms offering robo-solutions to their distribution partners.

    Over time robo-advisors will add financial planning capabilities to move up to larger accounts, and financial advisors will add robo-tools to move down to smaller accounts. The sweet spot may well be the hybrid solution that integrates robo-tools with licensed financial advisors. 

    I don’t think pure robo-advisors will replace financial advisors any time soon. It reminds me of the introduction of no-load (no sales commission) mutual funds in the 1980s. Common wisdom was that their cost advantage would enable them to take over the fund industry. But investors voted with their feet and sought to work with financial advisors. Funds sold through advisors became dominant while no-load funds sold direct to individuals languished. Robo-advice is also reminiscent of online banking in the 1990s. Many start-ups emerged. But who dominates online banking today? The big firms—Chase, Wells Fargo, Bank of America. Scale is a large advantage. 

    You can see that pattern starting to form from the fourth-quarter 2015 asset levels of robo-advisors, according to Investment News:

    • Vanguard, $31.0 billion
    • Schwab, $5.3 billion
    • Betterment, $3.3 billion
    • Wealthfront, $2.8 billion
    • Personal Capital, $1.8 billion

    Even though Vanguard and Schwab entered the market after the other three firms on the list, they quickly sprinted to the top of the charts. That gap will only widen in coming years.

    Stand-alone robo-advisor firms face a challenging future. Morningstar equity analyst Michael Wong wrote an insightful research piece about robo-advisors last year and concluded that stand-alone firms will need $16 billion to $40 billion of net assets to break even. That’s far from today’s asset levels for these firms.

    Moreover, Michael estimates that it will take tens, if not hundreds, of millions of marketing dollars to raise sufficient assets. He estimates a $1,000 cost to add a new account, after factoring in attrition, and up to a decade to recoup marketing costs. It will be hard for robo-firms to self-finance their growth.

    Firms that already have large customer bases have an overwhelming advantage. Charles Schwab has $2.5 trillion in net assets, and TD Ameritrade has $700 billion. Converting a small fraction of these dollars to a fee-based account is far easier than the challenge of a stand-alone robo-firm spending millions to attract new clients.

    So the long-term viability of most pure-play robo-advisors is in doubt—especially as Schwab and Vanguard enter the fray. Pure-play robo-advisors will need a large amount of assets under management to turn a profit with low fees. The marketing spend to get there may not make economic sense, though. I believe many hope to exit by selling to a strategic firm. We’ve seen Blackrock purchase FutureAdvisor, Invesco purchase Jemstep, and Interactive Brokers buying Covestor.

    I am a big believer in automated advice—Morningstar’s been a “robo-advisor” for more than a decade, though one selling investment services through an employer’s retirement plan. Today, we manage more than one million retirement accounts with assets of more than $40 billion. So automated advice works, it scales well, and is a terrific way to service many smaller accounts. Our advantages are a trusted brand and lower distribution costs because we sell through retirement plan providers and plan sponsors. 

    Morningstar has also invested in Sallie Krawcheck’s Ellevest, a start-up that focuses on meeting the investing needs of women through an automated investing offering. Sallie is an investment industry star with a large following among her women’s network, more than one million LinkedIn Influencer followers, and regular media appearances. The combination of Ellevest’s unique focus on women with Sallie’s stellar reputation should prove a winner. 

    I’d love to see several of the start-up robo-advisors thrive in the coming years. But most face serious economic headwinds. They’ll need to evolve their offering to incorporate more financial-planning capabilities (either licensed advisors or automated financial planning) and find creative ways to lower client acquisition costs.

    They’ll also need to find ways to develop an economic moat—or sustainable competitive advantage—to thrive in the long run. They must develop scale to drive cost advantages and create meaningful brands as intangible assets. 

    If they can do these things, they’ll have a shot at success. While robo-advice may have a good future, the incumbent brokerage, advisory, and banking firms are much better positioned to reap its benefits.

    This article first appeared on the Pulse channel of LinkedIn. 

    Originally Posted at Retirement Income Journal on March 31, 2016 by Joe Mansueto.

    Categories: Industry Articles
    currency