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  • Latest FIO report chock full of industry data and analysis

    November 7, 2018 by Brian Anderson

    The United States remained the world’s largest single-country insurance market in 2017, with a 28% market share of global direct premiums written, according to the recently released 2018 report on the insurance industry from the Federal Insurance Office (FIO).

    China leapfrogged Japan to claim the second spot on the list, followed by the U.K., France, Germany, South Korea, Italy, Canada and Taiwan, rounding out the top 10 insurance markets in the world.

    The FIO annual report, as mandated by the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act, provides a detailed description of the U.S. insurance market (life & health and P&C), including a variety of industry statistics and the national and international regulatory environment.

    In 2017, there were 743 life insurers, 2,620 property and casualty insurers, and 1,130 health insurers licensed in the U.S.

    What follows is additional market info from the 107-page FIO report, which includes footnotes detailing sources of information and statistics. To view a PDF of the complete FIO report, click here.

    Life Insurance and Annuities

    Over 2017, the market share rankings among the five largest writers of life insurance and annuities were unchanged. MetLife Inc. remained the largest writer of life insurance products in the U.S., followed by Prudential Financial Inc., New York Life, Principal Financial Group Inc., and Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Company. Jackson National (sixth-largest) and American International Group (seventh-largest) exchanged places, as did Transamerica (eighth-largest) and AXA (ninth-largest). The aggregate market shares of the top 10, 25, and 100 companies were little changed compared to 2016.

    2017 Top 10 Life Insurance/Annuity Carriers

    (by direct premiums written)

    1. MetLife (13.57% of market)
    2. Prudential Financial (7.44%)
    3. New York Life (4.99%)
    4. Principal Financial Group (4.41%)
    5. MassMutual (3.88%)
    6. Jackson National Life (3.52%)
    7. American International Group (3.36%)
    8. Transamerica (3.34%)
    9. AXA Equitable (3.34%)
    10. Lincoln National (3.20%)

    Combined Top 10: 51.05% of market

    Combined Top 25: 78.11%

    Combined Top 100: 98.66%

    Premiums shown for MetLife, for example, include premiums written by all of its insurance subsidiaries in the U.S., but exclude business written by affiliated entities in other jurisdictions. Similarly, Jackson National Life Group is foreign-owned, and the results shown only include U.S. operations.

    Net premiums written is a principal measure of the size and growth of the insurance industry. Net premiums written accounted for 71% of total L&H sector revenues, a level slightly lower than the 10-year historical average. In 2017, L&H sector net premiums written were $597 billion, marking a less than 1% decrease from the $600 billion reported in 2016, but also the third consecutive year of negative growth. A 10% decrease in annuity premiums and deposits was not fully offset by a 19% rebound in life insurance premiums and a 4% increase in accident and health premiums.

    A number of large reinsurance transactions in 2017 by Prudential Financial, Inc., MetLife, Inc., Transamerica Life Insurance Company, and Forethought Life Insurance Company were cited as the main cause of the drop in net premiums.

    In 2017, annuity premiums and deposits represented 48% of total net premiums written, a decrease from the 53% reported in 2016. Sales of traditional life insurance products rose to make up 23% of 2017 L&H sector net premiums written from 19% in 2016, while the remainder was virtually comprised entirely of A&H sector premiums.

    A few more nuggets from the report:

    • $597 billion: Net premiums written for the L&H sector in 2017, or 33% of net premiums written for the combined L&H, P&C, and Health sectors. For the P&C sector, net premiums written were approximately $557 billion, or 31% of net premiums written for the combined L&H, P&C, and Health sectors. The Health sector reported $664 billion of net premiums written for 2017, or 36.5% of the combined total for the three sectors.
    • At the end of 2017, the L&H sector held approximately $7.0 trillion of total assets (including $2.7 trillion held in separate accounts), the P&C sector held approximately $2.0 trillion, and the Health sector held approximately $404 billion.
    • Capital and surplus in the L&H sector stood at approximately $395 billion as of December 31, 2017, the P&C sector reported policyholder surplus of approximately $764 billion, and the Health sector reported approximately $183 billion.

    Long-Term Care Insurance

    In recent years, Treasury and FIO have commented on the growing social need for long-term care and the steady decline of the private LTCI market. As of year-end 2017, an estimated 4.6 million individual LTCI coverages were in force, with LTCI policies paying $9.2 billion in claims to 295,000 individuals during the year.

    Despite these contributions, market contraction continued in 2017, as individual sales of standalone LTCI policies totaled $176 million, 23% lower than in 2016, and the estimated number of Americans purchasing new policies (67,000) dropped 27% from the prior year. The number of insurers offering LTCI remained at an historical low (about a dozen compared to more than 100 in the early 2000s).

    The financial performance of in-force LTCI policies also remains a concern for the industry, investors, and regulators. In the fourth quarter of 2017, one insurer incurred a $9.5 billion pre-tax charge arising mainly from deteriorating results in a block of approximately 310,000 LTCI policies in runoff since 2006. During 2018, an insurer disclosed that it expects to incur an LTCI-related charge that “is likely not to exceed $750 million after tax,” while another reported a second quarter $1.5 billion pre-tax loss arising from revised actuarial assumptions for its LTCI legacy business.

    In an ongoing effort to improve their operating results, companies with LTCI exposure continue to aggressively seek state regulatory approval of premium rate increases on existing policies. For example, in the first quarter of 2018, 10 leading LTCI carriers filed for approval of rate increases totaling $97 million (compared to $49 million in the first quarter of 2017) and affecting nearly 135,000 policyholders (compared to 87 million).

    The above, from page 59 of the report PDF, is followed by additional detail about the LTCI market.

    InsurTech

    • InsurTech funding totaled $2.3 billion in 2017, the second highest annual total to date, and a 36% increase from 2016. In 2017 alone, 14 InsurTech startups received financial backing from some of the world’s largest insurers.
    • In 2017, total direct premiums written for the combined L&H and P&C sectors were $1.33 trillion, growing by nearly 3% over 2016 levels and close to 15% from 2008.

    Domestic Insurance Market Outlook

    The report concludes with an outlook for the domestic insurance market. Here is an excerpt:

    Based on financial results reported by insurers through the first half of 2018, the outlook for the U.S. insurance industry appears to be a continuation of the healthy trends observed in 2017. The effects of ongoing monetary tightening and recent expansionary fiscal measures, however, may be more marked in 2018. Since 2015, the Federal Reserve has raised the fed funds rate on seven separate occasions, each by 25 basis points, with the most recent increase in June 2018. The fed funds rate currently stands at 2.0 percent, which is also the Federal Reserve’s target inflation rate. However, the interest rate hikes have yet to manifest themselves fully in the financial results of insurers. After a persistent decline in annual yields on invested assets since 2007, the L&H sector reported a slight uptick by two basis points in 2017 and a four basis point increase for the first six months of 2018 relative to the comparable period a year ago.

    For the P&C sector, yields rose by more than 18 basis points during the first half of 2018 compared to the same period in 2017, suggesting an improvement may be in store for 2018 after the sector reported two consecutive years of flat yields.

    Though U.S. employment has grown past full employment levels, with an unemployment rate of 3.9 percent as of August 31, 2018, and wages have exhibited some upward movement, there is little likelihood of a sudden spike in interest rates to negatively affect life insurers through increased surrenders by policyholders and unrealized losses in investment portfolios. Both insurance sectors will likely experience increased relief to their profit margins in 2018, as interest rates are expected to rise at a moderate pace. In time, the reversal of a low interest rate environment will be beneficial for insurers. In addition to improved earnings, gradually rising interest rates will ease spread compression in spread-dependent businesses and enable insurers to more closely match their asset and liability cash flows to meet liquidity demands.

    Read the complete conclusion on pages 104-107 of the FIO report.

    Originally Posted at Insurance-Forums on November 7, 2018 by Brian Anderson.

    Categories: Industry Articles
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